The Sovereign Mind

Free thought on politics and real life

The Next Best Thing for Health Care Reform

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As a supporter of the free market (although not a purist), I tend to prefer a solution to our country’s health care problems that enhances the advantages of the market, rather than places more government bureaucracy on top of it. But a bill that decreases government involvement in health care, rather than increases it, is about as likely to get passed as a white male was likely to have been nominated for Justice Souter’s seat on the bench. So that begs the question: if the conservative approach to health care reform is not viable politically, what is the next best thing we can hope for?

What about the much maligned status quo? Even critics of the reform proposals agree that our current system has problems, but would doing nothing be better than the current proposals? Even if some believe that to be the case, few politicians would admit it for fear of being labeled a defender of a broken system. But is the best option on the right to try to block reform and stall, in hopes of gaining political power in future elections, thus making a more conservative approach more viable? That might be tempting, but given the track record of Republicans on getting any major reform done in our health care system, I wouldn’t bet on that approach working out. A few of us are in the unfortunate circumstance of needing the liberals’ zeal to get something significant done and the conservative ideas to get the right thing done. It’s tough to have both at the same time.

What about a compromise approach? The Senate finance committee has recently come out with a bill that it believes to be more moderate than its counterparts. No public option. Less harsh mandates. Almost universal disapproval. Does compromise mean pulling in all of the best ideas from all sides, or the worst ones? In this case, we have none of the cost controls and all of the government bureaucracy. In an attempt to find common ground, it appears the finance committee has found no-man’s land. Worse still, if something along those lines passes, it is likely to give the impression that something has been done, when in reality nothing has been done except complicating the system even more. This impression is likely to cause real reform to be significantly delayed as we have an endless debate about whether the plan is really working or not (see the current debate about whether the stimulus is working).

How about this for the Next Best Thing for conservatives? Let the liberals’ plan pass. Yes, that’s what I said. Put in that strong public option and individual mandates. Punish those greedy private insurance companies and those evil employers that don’t provide insurance to their employees. Why might that be The Next Best Thing? Because when someone asks, “Why can’t I find a plan a low-premium catastrophic plan?” We can tell him that the government didn’t think that would be good for him. And when someone says, “I got laid off because my employer couldn’t afford the health insurance he’s mandated to pay for.” We can say, “Thanks for taking one for team.” Or when someone on Medicaid Advantage reports that their plan has been discontinued, and they are now forced to find another, we’ll just tell them they were part of the waste in the system that had to be jettisoned. Maybe then there would be more pressure to consider more conservative-minded approaches. (Or, maybe it would actually work. Either way, the American people win in the end.)

There was nothing like prohibition to solidify the idea that alcohol ought to be legal. Nothing like Vietnam to make the public wary of the casualties of war. Nothing like repealing Glass-Steagall to remind us of why it was there in the first place.

Does this idea sound good to me? No. I don’t want to see people in our country suffer. And it would likely take decades to undo the programs that would be put in place. I didn’t say it was The Best Thing. I suggested that maybe it is the Next Best Thing. If conservatives believe that liberal health care reform would be a harmful to our country, should they let the liberals prove it? Just a thought.

Written by Mike

October 23, 2009 at 10:03 pm

I Think We All Know Where It’s Coming From

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At one of Obama’s recent town hall meetings on the health care proposals, a questioner brought up the misinformation that is circulating in the debate:

You touched on this. I would like you to expand a little more. This problem with misinformation in our country, it seems to me that it’s not only just hurting health care reform, health insurance reform, it’s dividing our country. (Applause.) Is it not maybe time — I think we all know where it’s coming from.

Yes, we do. It’s coming from all sides. During that same town hall, as well as those that preceded it, Obama has been using the proposed Medicare Advantage cuts as an example of where we can eliminate waste from the system in order to pay for his plans:

So I’ll give you — let me give you one particular example. We right now provide $177 billion over 10 years — or about $17 billion, $18 billion a year — to insurance companies in the forms of subsidies for something called Medicare Advantage where they basically run the Medicare program that everybody else has, except they get an extra bunch of money that they make a big profit off of. And there’s no proof, no evidence at all that seniors are better off using Medicare Advantage than regular Medicare. If we could save that $18 billion a year, that is money that we can use to help people who right now need some help.

Medicare Advantage is a system in which seniors who would normally qualify for Medicare can instead buy private health insurance plans, and have some of the cost of that plan subsidized by Medicare dollars. In 2003, the system was changed such that private insurers are given a more generous subsidy to provide these services. It is mainly this change that has prompted the concern that tax-payers are lining the wallets of insurance company executives. That is a legitimate concern. However, it is clear that those additional subsidies have encouraged insurance companies to offer more attractive plans to seniors. According to the Congressional Budget Office:

In 2004, Medicare Advantage plans accounted for 13 percent of enrollment in Medicare, the lowest level since 1996. Over the past two years, however, enrollment in those health plans has increased to about 19 percent of all enrollment, or 8.3 million beneficiaries.19 That increase resulted from changes enacted in the Medicare Modernization Act that increased payment rates and added the prescription drug benefit to complement the medical benefits provided under Parts A and B of Medicare. CBO projects that enrollment in Medicare health plans will continue to increase rapidly in coming years, to 22 percent of total Medicare enrollment in 2008 and 26 percent by 2017 (see Figure 1).

So, the higher government subsidy to insurance companies resulted in more seniors seeking after these private plans. There’s a reasonable debate to be had to be sure we are using government money wisely. However, the debate has to recognize a simple fact: if increasing the subsidy caused more attractive plans to be offered to seniors, what will happen when the subsidy is decreased? Will private insurers still offer those same plans as the same premiums to seniors? Reason says no. And yet, there’s this oft-repeated line from the President: “If you like your health care plan, you keep your health care plan.” Unless it’s a Medicare Advantage plan. Then all bets are off.

Some mock the elderly for statements such as “Keep your government hands off my Medicare.” It is true, that statement doesn’t express the frustration well, but the underlying concern is a real one. Maybe, before mocking, we should think about the fact that these people have been around many decades, and maybe have learned a thing or two about how government works. It turns out that, despite the patronizingly reassuring words that are used to try to calm the elderly on this issue, they have good reason to be concerned. If this is Obama’s example of an “inefficiency” in the system, what else might there be?

Written by Mike

August 29, 2009 at 10:34 pm

Cash For Clunkers: Simply Unsupportable

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For those who don’t know, the government will give you $4,500 to trade in your old clunker and buy a brand new car. Sounds like a good deal, but as far as public policy is concerned, the program is simply unsupportable.

There are two reasons that proponents give to support the program:

1) The program supposedly helps the environment by getting gas guzzlers off the road and replacing them with newer, more efficient cars. It is debatable whether the program has any positive impact on the environment at all. And even if it does, the minimal impact begs the question: what else could we have spent that money on that would have helped the environment much more? It’s a little like going out to an expensive restaurant, and then justifying the expense by saying, “Well, we had to eat, right?”

2) The program is supposed to help stimulate the economy by getting people to buy new cars. Even those who see through the environmental argument often agree that it has succeeded in that purpose. And I don’t disagree, but let’s look at the issue more closely.

First, let’s start with the basics: Every dollar that the government spends is a dollar out of the pockets of a tax-payer. That should be obvious, but it seems that we sometimes forget this basic fact, maybe because we don’t see our tax bill increase at the passage of these sorts of programs. But it is true, whether the money comes from tax-dollars directly, or is borrowed (and therefore will be paid by future generations of tax-payers), or is printed (which we pay for because of the inherent devaluation of existing currency). There is no escaping the fact that there is no such thing as free money.

With this is mind, can this program be considered as anything more than taking money away from people who don’t want to buy a new car, and giving it to someone who does? The government is essentially telling you, “If you aren’t going to buy a new car, we’ll take your money and give it to someone who will.” By doing this, the government subverts the dichotomy that, during a recession, it is in each individual’s best interest to save money, but it is in the economy’s interest that we spend. I don’t blame the government for attempting to find ways to stimulate the economy during a recession, but giving people the choice of spending money or losing it is beyond over-reach.

So we must ask ourself this question: is it more important to (slightly and artificially) stimulate a sector of the economy for a very short period of time, or is it more important to respect our freedom to save or spend our money as we please? Maybe some in congress may disagree, but it seems to me that the answer to that question is obvious.

Written by Mike

August 9, 2009 at 9:04 pm

Paul Krugman vs. Paul Curtman

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Paul Krugman, nobel prize winning economist, says that the people protesting at health care town hall meetings are anti-American and amount to a mob.

Tell that to Paul Curtman:

Our country was founded on freedom, not politeness.

For those who might be tempted to brush off his criticism, please read The Federalist #41, written by James Madison, known as the Father of the Constitution.

Written by Mike

August 8, 2009 at 6:25 am

What’s Wrong With the Health Care Bill: How Small is Small?

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Continuing my series I began a few days ago, here’s another little gem within the health care bill. The plan imposes a penalty on companies that don’t contribute to health care for their employees. But don’t worry, small businesses. The Democrats are fully committed to engaging in rhetoric to ensure that you don’t think this is going to affect you. From the summary, in a section ironically entitled “Assistance for small employers”:

Recognizing the special needs of small businesses, the smallest businesses (payroll that does not exceed $250,000) are exempt from the employer responsibility requirement. The payroll penalty would then phase in starting at 2% for firms with annual payrolls over $250,000 rising to the full 8 percent penalty for firms with annual payrolls above $400,000.

Democrats know that they must continue the charade of appearing to be on the side of small business. They argue that it will only be big business that will be penalized. You know those businesses with those big pockets. (On a side note, having big pockets doesn’t always mean they have anything in them, but that’s a matter for a different day.)

But now we learn that businesses with a payroll of as little as $250,000 would be hit by a tax. Now we know that Obama means it literally when he says he wants to help the “mom and pop” businesses. Just don’t hire the uncle and a few cousins–that might put you over the limit into evil big business territory. I know that isn’t a fair representation of Obama’s position–he probably does care about helping small business. But, as is common lately, his rhetoric doesn’t match the bill. Unfortunately, congress will not be voting on the president’s speeches. They will be voting on the bill before them that they (hopefully) have read.

But I’ll ask a more fundamental question: why should it be the employers’ responsibility to contribute to health care coverage? I don’t think you can argue that employers have a responsibility to do anything except fulfill the agreement they have made with the employee when he is hired. If I’m an employer looking to hire someone, and I put out the conditions of employment, and someone looking for a job agrees with those conditions, why should the government tell us we can’t make that arrangement, or punish us for doing so.

Those who support the tax on business will argue that businesses should pay for health care because they have the deep pockets. Those who make this argument don’t understand economics. The amount that the employer has to pay for health care is approximately the amount by which they will decrease their employees’ salaries. If it were not so, then I think we should mandate businesses to pay for my groceries and mortgage also. If the money that my employer pays comes out of thin air, we could easily solve our housing crisis that way. Of course that’s ridiculous. If my employer has to pay my mortgage, my salary would decrease.

There are several problems with employer-based health coverage:

1) If I lose or change jobs, I lose my coverage. Plans aren’t portable. This contributes to the problem of the uninsured, and also makes people stay in jobs they don’t like, rather than looking for greener pastures. That is detrimental to the labor market, as it means that employers don’t have to work so hard to keep their employees happy.

2) When employers offer health care plans, they offer limited choices. Choice is essential in a free market. If I don’t like my insurance provider, I ought to be able to easily switch to another. This keeps the insurance companies honest because they would know if they do not provide good service and a reasonable price, I’d go elsewhere.

So, considering those disadvantages, why is it that we have a employer-based health system?

1) Employers are offered a tax break to give health coverage to their employees. It still costs them money, of course, but it costs them less money then it would cost their employees to buy the plan themselves, since they would not qualify for the tax break. So, employers can provide something to their employees which is of high value to them, but costs the business less. This could be solved by equalizing the tax structure so that individuals who buy health insurance benefit just as much as businesses. Businesses that want to attract the best and brightest would still be able to contribute to the health care plans for their employees, but they would not get any additional benefit from the government for doing so. In addition, those who don’t have jobs or work for companies that don’t provide health care would not be disadvantaged in the insurance market.

2) Employees like the fact that when they sign up for a health care plan through their employer, they are part of a pool. That means their cost doesn’t depend on their health status, but rather the health status of the entire work force. It means that healthy employees subsidize the health care of the less healthy. Many people see this as a good thing, but a pool is just a crutch since we don’t have a better way to charge people. A better way would be to charge people based on their behavior, which eliminates the need for pools because everyone pays what they should pay, and everyone is equally able to lower their costs by making healthy choices, regardless of pre-existing conditions.

But even if the “charge on behavior” philosophy is not palatable to some who prefer the more tried-and-true mechanism of pools, we could set up such pools at the state level, instead of putting that responsibility on the employers.

But wouldn’t taking away the incentive to provide health care (or the punishment for not doing so) from businesses cause people to lose their health insurance? It might cause some businesses to drop coverage, but it would also add revenue to the system to provide tax credits to help individuals buy coverage, as well as more help for those with lower incomes.

What I’ve outlined is true change–way more than Obama wants to take on since he is determined to build on the current system. At the very least, that proves he is wrong to suggest that the only alternative to this bill is to do nothing. One alternative is to do more. But, really it’s not about less or more. It’s about what’s right. And pinning the responsibility of health care on “big” business is wrong, costs jobs, and leads to less choice in the marketplace.

Written by Mike

July 27, 2009 at 8:58 am

What’s Wrong With the Health Care Bill: What Happened to Personal Responsibility?

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I recently read the summary of the house bill and a few parts of the actual bill that I wanted to dive into in more detail. No, I don’t have time to read the entire bill. I have to say: it’s worse than I thought.

I won’t bother about the part about the “public option”. It is the most debated part of the bill, and most of the debate is ideological. Although personally I don’t like it as I fall on the more conservative small government side, but I don’t feel I have much to add to that debate. I’d like to focus on some things that are wrong because they are wrong–not because they don’t fit a certain ideology. So this is the first post in a series (if I get around to more) on what’s wrong with the health care bill.

The summary of the bill says this:

It also limits the ability of insurance companies to charge higher rates due to health status, gender, or other factors. Under the proposal, premiums can vary based only on age (no more than 2:1), geography and family size.

(You can read the part of the actual bill that relates to this issue here.)

I actually like the idea of preventing insurance companies from charging sick people more. The unregulated free market punishes people for having the nerve to get sick. Now, some diseases are preventable and one could argue that in some cases it is justified to charge people more if they get sick due to their own poor choices. However, there are two problems with this argument:

1) Many people get sick because of bad luck, not because of anything they did wrong.
2) Many people make bad health choices but don’t get sick.

If the intent of a free market is to encourage good choices by rewarding them and discourage destructive choices by punishing them, clearly the free market does not do this well in the health care world. As I’ve argued before, the free market is a great system, but is not perfect, especially in the areas of health care and education (I’ll leave education for another day).

So what’s wrong with this proposal, then? If we’re going to take away health status as a measure of how much someone should pay, what should we replace it with? I propose that we regulate insurance companies such that their premiums must be based on behavior, not health status. For example, someone who smokes can be charged more. Someone who is overweight, but loses weight over a certain amount of time, should see his premiums decrease. That would help accomplish two important goals:

1) Make the pricing system more fair. In our current system, someone with a chronic disease, whether they acquired it because of their own poor choices or not, would have to pay enormous premiums in order to be insured. Or, they have to be in a pool where healthy people help subsidize their care. Why not make people who are making poor health care choices, but who are not yet sick, subsidize the care for those who are sick?

2) Basing premiums on behavior would be a driver to improve health choices, and therefore lower health care costs. If people know they can lower their health care premiums by making better choices, they’d be more inclined to do so. Safeway has proven it, but according to my reading of the bill, Safeway’s program would not be approved.

Fortunately, I’m not the only one making this case. Although I haven’t heard much in the media, and have yet to find any other blog post regarding this important issue. Obama likes to talk about decreasing health care costs, but I don’t see much in the bill that actually does. This would be one way to do so, and it’s not even an partisan issue.

Written by Mike

July 24, 2009 at 10:22 pm

David Axelrod: Iraq War Worth It

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David Axelrod, senior adviser to President Obama, on Face the Nation:

SMITH: Were the lives, American lives, lost in Iraq worth it? Were the Iraqi lives worth it?

AXELROD: Harry, I think any time someone serves their country it — it is an honorable thing, a worthwhile thing. And the president said in the speech that Iraq is better without the tyranny of Saddam Hussein. So, yes, the answer to that is yes.

Was that the right choice to make at the time given all the factors involved? The president’s spoken on this. This has been a heated debate in our country, and I suspect it will be debated for some time.

How can one argue that the Iraq war was worth the cost, but that it wasn’t the right thing to do?

Written by Mike

June 9, 2009 at 10:26 pm

The Limits of Freedom

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As my state considers a state-wide smoking ban in restaurants, bars, and the like, I’ve been considering when it is appropriate to restrict freedom. I don’t smoke, and I don’t particularly like second-hand smoke either, so it’s very tempting to me to stay on the sidelines. After all, it’s not my choices that are being restricted.

But I also am reminded of the fact that we live in the “land of the free”. What exactly does that mean? In this country, we take freedom very seriously. Let’s start with what I hope everyone can agree on: Freedom is not limited by what the majority feels is the right thing to do. It is a contradiction to say, “Yes, we are free in this country, so long as you do use your freedom to choose good things and not things we think are stupid.” The point of the right to “freedom” is that we have a right to make our own choices, even if others would view them as poor choices. Anything less is not truly freedom.

However, there are also times when our freedom is, and should be, restricted. I cannot do anything I want and defend my actions by saying, “It’s a free country, ain’t it?” I can’t steal something that doesn’t belong to me, or yell “fire” in a crowded movie theater. So there are limitations to my freedom, and rightly so.

So, as I contemplate the pending smoking ban, and my own apathy towards it, I’m prompted to consider the question: when it is OK for my freedom to be restricted? The default position should be that my freedom should not be restricted, and the burden is on those who wish to restrict freedom to argue that it is worth it.

There are two arguments for why a particular choice should be restricted. The first may be obvious, although I think it has some subtleties. The second is less obvious.

1) My freedom to do something may be restricted when that choice is harmful to other people who are not willingly participating. The harm may come upon them directly or indirectly (I don’t understand why some people argue that indirect harm is any less valid than direct harm.) However, the question should also be asked: can the harm on other person be avoided by some other means that doesn’t restrict the freedom of either party?

2) My freedom to do something may be restricted if the decision is too complex for the common person to make it on their own. That’s a statement that most freedom-loving people would scoff at, but I hope you consider it carefully. Do you oppose regulation that says that poison should not be put in cereal? What if companies could do it without even indicating it on the label? If we consider only #1 above, one could argue that the companies are free to do so, because those who buy the cereal are willingly participating in the consumption of that cereal. Consumers are free to abstain. However, clearly this is going too far. We accept the fact that our government protects us from our own ignorance at times. It would be impractical for everyone to be an expert in every field so that we can make good decisions in all aspects of our life. I don’t have the expertise or equipment to test the breakfast cereal that I buy for poisons, so I trust the FDA will do it’s job and restrict food companies from putting such things in my food. I also trust that the government will ensure the safety of the planes that I board, because I am incapable of doing so myself. So I want the government to restrict the airlines from choosing to neglect passenger safety.

So, returning to the smoking ban, we must first define which freedom we are restricting (and, to be clear, every law can be defined as a restriction of freedom). In this case, the freedom being restricting is the freedom of business owners to determine whether smoking will be allowed in their business. As much as I like eating in smoke-free restaurants, I have to say that I can’t justify the restriction of that freedom, based on the criteria above.

For one thing, no one is forced to enter the business, and therefore no one is harmed except for those who willingly participate. Clearly, customers are not forced to enter a particular business. And even employees can choose to quit. One might argue that the right of the employee to choose where they will work is being infringed. However, that right doesn’t really exist. A person does not have the right to choose any workplace and determine the conditions of their employment. The employer decides who is hired and who is not, and the employer also has the right to set the conditions of employment. That’s not to say that the employer holds all of the cards. If an employee does not like the working conditions, the employee can choose the leave. If enough other employees follow, this can cause problems for the employer as well. The employer will have to look harder and pay more to find people willing to work in sub-par conditions.

Secondly, the decision to smoke or not to smoke, or to frequent a business that caters to smokers, is not too complex for the average consumer. There is no need for the government to protect us from our ignorance, since the negative health effects of smoking are well-known.

And yet, the smoking ban will likely pass without much challenge. So, am I missing another key reason why freedoms can and should be restricted? I’m not opposed to seat-belt laws, but that also doesn’t qualify under either of the conditions mentioned above. So, is there another condition I am missing? Or should we be accept a government that restricts our freedom to make bad choices?

Written by Mike

May 14, 2009 at 10:59 pm

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What If It Were Bush?

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I’m not fond of the the “What if it were Bush” syndrome–the perpetual need to point out how unfair the critics of Bush were, considering the praise for the Obama administration. But I couldn’t pass this one up.

Presidential Historian Doris Kearns Goodwin on Meet the Press:

We’ve learned that he somehow shapes his own day. I mean, I think it’s great that he gets up in the morning, has breakfast with the kids before going to the Oval Office. Ronald Reagan did the same thing. He said–not with the kids, but he got to the Oval Office later. Somebody said, “There’ll be a national security adviser there at 7:15. You’ve got to be there, Mr. President.” He said, “That guy’s going to be waiting a long time. I’m going when I want to…. If you can find ways to sustain your spirit and maintain a sense of normalcy, the fact that he goes out and he has dinner in the White House–I mean, in the, in the Washington, D.C., area, that he goes on ESPN, all of that frees up, I think, your energies to replenish yourself and allow you to become a good president.

If Bush had been showing up at the office late and spending time “replenishing himself”, do you think he would have been praised for that? When it was Bush taking “vacations*”, he’s lazy. If it’s Obama taking some down-time, he’s struck a good work-life balance.

* (I put “vacations” in quotes becomes everyone except those with Bush-derangement syndrome would agree that presidents don’t go on vacation. They might be located in a different place and spending some time with family, but the idea that he was just chilling-out for days at a time is ludicrous.)

Written by Mike

April 28, 2009 at 10:04 pm

Worst Possible Sunday Interview

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What was John Boehner thinking?

Here’s the “wha-what?” quote:

George, the idea that carbon dioxide is a carcinogen, that it is harmful to our environment, is almost comical. Every time we exhale, we exhale carbon dioxide. Every cow in the world, you know, when they do what they do, you’ve got more carbon dioxide.

George was kind to interrupt him before he dug the hole any deeper, but then he goes on to answer every “what is your plan?” question with “well what we can’t do is…”. SNL could pretty much repeat this word for word and get plenty of laughs.

I do believe that there is still scientific debate to be had in regards to how much climate change is caused by man’s activities, however the argument that carbon dioxide can’t be bad because cows emit it is insulting to our intelligence.

Written by Mike

April 24, 2009 at 9:31 pm